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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17315350100200250195124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+49Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +35
26Coral scored#19
93Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
115Total teleop80
Reef
13L4#10
9L3#8
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#27
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
195Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.82.4
63.065.4
Auto16.2
Teleop44.5
End8.1
red by 18.1
2851
#20
50.81.3
48.547.2
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1
Second
5436
#32
46.92.4
44.246.6
Auto11.0
Teleop27.4
End8.5
red by 6.9
6861
#37
40.01.3
40.739.5
Auto6.5
Teleop26.8
End6.7
Third
2620
#31
44.12.4
41.043.4
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End8.0
red by 5.0
4855
#26
39.11.3
42.641.3
Auto9.1
Teleop27.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned