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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224193150250300207200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+27Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points33
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +23
32Coral scored#27
116Coral points97
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
154Total teleop131
Reef
16L4#9
12L3#10
8L2#10
3L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
207Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#11
79.10.4
80.179.7
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
red by 6.0
7769
#13
73.01.0
70.871.8
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
Second
64.70.4
67.166.7
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
red by 1.4
63.31.0
60.861.8
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
Third
217
#8
57.90.4
52.151.7
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
red by 17.0
3603
#33
40.81.0
39.740.7
Auto6.7
Teleop26.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned