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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203184100150250300200194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
9Coral scored#9
45Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +26
23Coral scored#16
83Coral points57
6Processor algae#6
6Net algae#6
36Processor points36
24Net points24
60Algae points60
143Total teleop117
Reef
13L4#7
9L3#8
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
200Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
80.40.7
77.077.7
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
blue by 1.1
81.51.1
80.681.7
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
Second
3546
#24
53.90.7
50.851.5
Auto14.0
Teleop36.5
End3.3
red by 5.1
1684
#29
48.71.1
47.248.3
Auto9.9
Teleop32.6
End6.3
Third
7174
#12
52.30.7
50.451.2
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
red by 15.1
5110
#35
37.11.1
38.539.6
Auto6.7
Teleop25.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned