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Qual 682025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red150
1065431.4
835233.0
283463.8
Blue149
550561.0
569537.7
553442.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134153050100200250300150149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+13Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
20Coral scored#14
71Coral points52
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
12Processor points24
20Net points24
32Algae points48
103Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#7
10L3#5
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
150Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#2
63.81.9
57.5→59.4
Auto18.1
Teleop37.1
End8.5
red by 2.8
5505
#16
61.01.0
56.5→57.5
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End12.0
Second
8352
#27
33.01.9
34.1→36.0
Auto5.8
Teleop25.7
End1.6
blue by 9.7
5534
#39
42.71.0
42.0→42.9
Auto5.7
Teleop30.9
End6.1
Third
10654
#28
31.41.9
29.5→31.5
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End0.8
blue by 6.3
5695
#36
37.71.0
35.8→36.7
Auto7.3
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned