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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163170120140180200220240157152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+13Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
8Coral scored#4
40Coral points21
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
21Coral scored#21
77Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
101Total teleop98
Reef
11L4#12
8L3#4
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
157Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#17
55.10.7
56.657.3
Auto13.0
Teleop33.6
End8.6
blue by 7.0
5114
#15
62.20.0
58.358.2
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
Second
3322
#14
51.80.7
48.048.7
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
blue by 6.0
3668
#19
57.80.0
55.455.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
Third
9776
#23
43.40.7
41.742.4
Auto6.9
Teleop34.3
End2.2
red by 6.9
815
#38
36.50.0
38.838.8
Auto7.1
Teleop28.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned71%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned