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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176186100150200250163127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+26Teleop
+38Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave6
7Coral scored#6
33Coral points31
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +27
22Coral scored#17
79Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
101Total teleop74
Reef
10L4#11
10L3#4
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points2
163Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.2
66.766.9
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
blue by 16.8
81.53.0
81.778.7
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
Second
3357
#22
52.40.2
49.950.1
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End4.7
red by 2.8
5843
#34
49.63.0
49.346.3
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
Third
3603
#33
40.80.2
40.740.8
Auto6.7
Teleop26.2
End7.9
red by 7.8
8352
#27
33.03.0
36.033.0
Auto5.8
Teleop25.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsMissed89%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned