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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226191100150250300219197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+50Teleop
+40Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave3
12Coral scored#6
58Coral points30
58Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +25
29Coral scored#26
103Coral points94
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#2
18Processor points18
24Net points8
42Algae points26
145Total teleop120
Reef
15L4#9
8L3#12
11L2#7
7L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points18
219Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.50.3
78.879.2
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
red by 18.1
63.30.2
62.863.0
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
Second
67
#1
80.40.3
77.778.1
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 22.6
3668
#19
57.80.2
57.357.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
Third
5843
#34
49.60.3
47.047.3
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
blue by 2.7
7174
#12
52.30.2
51.851.9
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6