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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190215100150250300350213223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +10
30Coral scored#31
108Coral points112
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
18Processor points24
24Net points24
42Algae points48
150Total teleop160
Reef
13L4#16
10L3#10
9L2#8
5L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
213Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.7
65.265.9
Auto12.5
Teleop42.6
End10.7
blue by 13.2
4391
#11
79.10.5
77.477.9
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
Second
63.80.7
63.163.8
Auto18.1
Teleop37.1
End8.5
blue by 7.0
70.70.5
69.069.5
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Third
3357
#22
52.40.7
51.752.4
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End4.7
red by 0.6
3322
#14
51.80.5
50.150.6
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7