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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186187140150160170180190200210131164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+29
Endgame+47
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +8
19Coral scored#18
68Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
88Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#12
9L3#7
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +33
14Foul points0
131Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.71.2
66.064.7
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
blue by 8.3
7769
#13
73.00.2
72.772.6
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
Second
1506
#17
55.11.2
56.455.1
Auto13.0
Teleop33.6
End8.6
red by 4.7
50.50.2
50.250.0
Auto7.5
Teleop42.0
End1.0
Third
548
#10
49.01.2
50.349.0
Auto8.1
Teleop34.8
End6.1
red by 0.3
1684
#29
48.70.2
48.548.3
Auto9.9
Teleop32.6
End6.3