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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220173100150200250300207208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +1
27Coral scored#28
97Coral points100
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
24Processor points24
28Net points24
52Algae points48
149Total teleop148
Reef
13L4#15
7L3#6
9L2#9
5L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
207Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#11
79.10.1
77.277.4
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
red by 16.9
5114
#15
62.20.9
59.059.9
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
Second
70.70.1
68.969.0
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
red by 12.9
217
#8
57.90.9
54.755.6
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Third
3322
#14
51.80.1
50.050.1
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
red by 1.1
2851
#20
50.80.9
47.648.5
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1