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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193190160180200220240207224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
7Coral scored#10
35Coral points48
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +10
24Coral scored#28
87Coral points99
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#6
18Processor points24
32Net points24
50Algae points48
137Total teleop147
Reef
14L4#16
7L3#10
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
207Total score224

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.6
64.565.2
Auto12.5
Teleop42.6
End10.7
blue by 3.0
68.81.1
66.367.4
Auto16.2
Teleop44.5
End8.1
Second
63.80.6
62.563.1
Auto18.1
Teleop37.1
End8.5
red by 2.8
5505
#16
61.01.1
58.559.5
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End12.0
Third
3357
#22
52.40.6
51.151.7
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End4.7
blue by 1.4
3546
#24
53.91.1
51.352.4
Auto14.0
Teleop36.5
End3.3