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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190195160180200220240188200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
5Coral scored#7
25Coral points33
34Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +9
25Coral scored#28
90Coral points101
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
30Processor points18
20Net points12
50Algae points30
140Total teleop131
Reef
16L4#12
5L3#12
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
188Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#13
73.00.4
72.372.7
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
red by 9.7
63.30.7
62.262.8
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
Second
50.50.4
49.850.2
Auto7.5
Teleop42.0
End1.0
blue by 7.3
3668
#19
57.80.7
56.657.3
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
Third
1684
#29
48.70.4
48.148.5
Auto9.9
Teleop32.6
End6.3
blue by 3.6
7174
#12
52.30.7
51.151.8
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6