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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223184100150200250300215135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+50Teleop
+72Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
10Coral scored#4
51Coral points20
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +22
26Coral scored#22
94Coral points80
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
120Total teleop98
Reef
13L4#9
10L3#8
9L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#30
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +80
8Foul points0
215Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.50.1
78.778.8
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
red by 16.8
64.70.9
66.966.0
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
Second
67
#1
80.40.1
77.677.7
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 25.2
1506
#17
55.10.9
57.356.4
Auto13.0
Teleop33.6
End8.6
Third
5843
#34
49.60.1
46.947.0
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
red by 0.6
548
#10
49.00.9
51.250.3
Auto8.1
Teleop34.8
End6.1