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Red186
362068.9
546070.4
296052.7
Blue176
258651.2
516659.2
357262.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204178150250186176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+4Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +14
21Coral scored#15
75Coral points55
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
18Processor points24
20Net points20
38Algae points44
113Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#9
12L3#7
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points0
186Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.40.3
70.770.4
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
red by 7.8
3572
#17
62.70.1
62.662.7
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Second
68.90.3
69.268.9
Auto22.0
Teleop37.9
End9.0
red by 9.7
59.20.1
59.159.2
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Third
2960
#15
52.70.3
53.052.7
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
red by 1.4
2586
#27
51.20.1
51.151.2
Auto13.8
Teleop34.0
End3.4