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Red200
362068.9
546070.4
296052.7
Blue192
258651.2
516659.2
357262.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204176100150250300200192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
10Coral scored#10
49Coral points51
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +1
21Coral scored#21
74Coral points77
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
18Processor points18
24Net points20
42Algae points38
116Total teleop115
Reef
11L4#12
9L3#10
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
200Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.40.2
70.670.7
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
red by 7.8
3572
#17
62.70.5
62.162.6
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Second
68.90.2
69.069.2
Auto22.0
Teleop37.9
End9.0
red by 9.7
59.20.5
58.659.1
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Third
2960
#15
52.70.2
52.853.0
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
red by 1.4
2586
#27
51.20.5
50.751.1
Auto13.8
Teleop34.0
End3.4