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Red172
258651.2
516659.2
357262.7
Blue170
924570.7
477665.1
20145.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178190140160200220240260172170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
6Leave3
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points36
51Total auto39
Teleoperatedlevel
21Coral scored#16
77Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
95Total teleop95
Reef
11L4#8
9L3#8
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
172Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#17
62.70.0
62.162.1
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
blue by 8.0
70.70.3
70.970.7
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
Second
59.20.0
58.658.6
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
blue by 6.0
65.10.3
65.465.1
Auto14.5
Teleop40.9
End9.8
Third
2586
#27
51.20.0
50.750.7
Auto13.8
Teleop34.0
End3.4
red by 6.0
201
#18
45.20.3
45.545.2
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2