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Red196
924570.7
477665.1
20145.2
Blue195
376763.0
955845.5
102359.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1971910100300400500196195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+9
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave0
6Coral scored#9
29Coral points44
32Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +3
27Coral scored#24
96Coral points87
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
128Total teleop125
Reef
9L4#13
11L3#10
9L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
196Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.3
70.770.9
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
red by 7.6
63.00.6
62.563.0
Auto14.3
Teleop40.7
End8.0
Second
65.10.3
65.165.4
Auto14.5
Teleop40.9
End9.8
red by 5.7
1023
#10
59.40.6
58.959.4
Auto14.1
Teleop38.9
End6.4
Third
201
#18
45.20.3
45.245.5
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2
blue by 0.3
9558
#28
45.50.6
44.945.5
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End7.9