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Qual 12025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red150
261941.1
14145.6
955845.5
Blue162
516659.2
432736.2
705657.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130140050100200250300350150162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points26
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +5
16Coral scored#23
59Coral points82
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
105Total teleop110
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#8
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
150Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#35
45.61.5
38.9→40.4
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End9.8
blue by 13.5
5166
#5
59.21.7
51.4→53.1
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Second
9558
#28
45.51.5
42.1→43.6
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End7.9
blue by 12.4
7056
#1
57.91.7
45.4→47.0
Auto10.5
Teleop38.7
End8.7
Third
2619
#20
41.11.5
30.1→31.6
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
red by 5.0
4327
#29
36.21.7
23.1→24.7
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned