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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9216950150200250113151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+36
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points31
19Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +15
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points51
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#5
12Processor points24
28Net points20
40Algae points44
80Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
113Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7656
#26
46.81.0
35.036.0
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
blue by 15.8
3572
#17
62.70.4
63.963.5
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Second
1502
#24
44.61.0
32.133.2
Auto11.4
Teleop31.4
End1.7
blue by 13.1
469
#22
57.70.4
49.248.8
Auto16.3
Teleop39.4
End2.0
Third
5538
#33
33.81.0
24.925.9
Auto5.2
Teleop21.2
End7.3
blue by 13.4
5547
#34
47.20.4
37.937.5
Auto7.4
Teleop32.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned