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Qual 32025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red143
750149.9
102359.4
376763.0
Blue130
118849.5
353660.4
296052.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145161100200250143130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+1Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
87Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#9
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
143Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#7
63.00.1
54.1→54.1
Auto14.3
Teleop40.7
End8.0
red by 2.7
3536
#13
60.41.5
59.7→58.2
Auto15.3
Teleop35.8
End9.3
Second
1023
#10
59.40.1
47.3→47.4
Auto14.1
Teleop38.9
End6.4
red by 6.8
2960
#15
52.71.5
47.8→46.3
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
Third
7501
#23
49.90.1
37.4→37.5
Auto8.5
Teleop32.1
End9.3
red by 0.5
1188
#36
49.51.5
42.7→41.2
Auto14.4
Teleop29.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned