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Red138
362068.9
20145.2
535256.3
Blue132
353730.8
102557.2
719751.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173140100150200250138132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+6
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave9
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points23
37Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +11
17Coral scored#13
61Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
75Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#10
4L3#3
7L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
138Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.90.6
66.966.2
Auto22.0
Teleop37.9
End9.0
red by 11.7
1025
#14
57.20.6
51.251.8
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
Second
5352
#11
56.30.6
45.144.4
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End8.8
red by 4.4
7197
#12
51.90.6
46.847.4
Auto8.8
Teleop41.8
End1.4
Third
201
#18
45.20.6
35.735.0
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2
red by 14.4
3537
#40
30.80.6
24.925.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned