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Qual 172025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red129
924570.7
353730.8
258651.2
Blue161
14145.6
150244.6
546070.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14917250100200250129161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+4
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points28
33Total auto37
Teleoperatedlevel
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
92Total teleop92
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#8
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points6
129Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#3
70.70.0
57.7→57.7
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
red by 0.2
5460
#2
70.40.8
69.4→70.2
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
Second
2586
#27
51.20.0
44.9→44.9
Auto13.8
Teleop34.0
End3.4
red by 5.6
141
#35
45.60.8
42.5→43.3
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End9.8
Third
3537
#40
30.80.0
26.5→26.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End2.3
blue by 13.8
1502
#24
44.60.8
31.0→31.8
Auto11.4
Teleop31.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned