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Qual 162025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red162
102359.4
261941.1
705657.9
Blue151
554747.2
535256.3
553833.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712880100120140160162151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +21
21Coral scored#19
77Coral points68
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
24Processor points12
12Net points12
36Algae points24
113Total teleop92
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#9
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
162Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#10
59.42.7
42.7→45.3
Auto14.1
Teleop38.9
End6.4
red by 3.1
5352
#11
56.32.5
48.0→50.6
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End8.8
Second
7056
#1
57.92.7
46.4→49.1
Auto10.5
Teleop38.7
End8.7
red by 10.7
5547
#34
47.22.5
39.6→42.1
Auto7.4
Teleop32.0
End7.9
Third
2619
#20
41.12.7
32.6→35.3
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
red by 7.3
5538
#33
33.82.5
25.4→27.9
Auto5.2
Teleop21.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned