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Red135
776839.4
924570.7
554747.2
Blue110
353730.8
719648.3
261941.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16512350100150200250135110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
6Processor points12
28Net points24
34Algae points36
98Total teleop90
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
135Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.3
57.757.4
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
red by 22.3
7196
#38
48.30.1
46.346.4
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End6.3
Second
5547
#34
47.20.3
42.141.9
Auto7.4
Teleop32.0
End7.9
red by 6.1
2619
#20
41.10.1
35.335.5
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
Third
7768
#37
39.40.3
39.539.2
Auto7.0
Teleop28.0
End4.4
red by 8.6
3537
#40
30.80.1
26.526.6
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsMissed