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Red126
14145.6
376763.0
258651.2
Blue125
553833.8
20145.2
438145.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15298050200126125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points26
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +10
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
75Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#11
6L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
126Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.02.1
56.554.5
Auto14.3
Teleop40.7
End8.0
red by 17.2
45.90.6
39.440.1
Auto15.1
Teleop22.9
End7.8
Second
2586
#27
51.22.1
44.942.9
Auto13.8
Teleop34.0
End3.4
red by 6.0
201
#18
45.20.6
37.738.3
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2
Third
141
#35
45.62.1
43.341.3
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End9.8
red by 11.8
5538
#33
33.80.6
27.928.6
Auto5.2
Teleop21.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned