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Red163
750149.9
362068.9
546070.4
Blue145
839744.4
516659.2
296052.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192160100150250163145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+54Teleop
+22Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave0
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points23
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +26
24Coral scored#14
88Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
106Total teleop80
Reef
14L4#7
12L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
2Foul points6
163Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.41.2
70.269.0
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
red by 11.3
59.20.6
56.656.0
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Second
68.91.2
67.766.6
Auto22.0
Teleop37.9
End9.0
red by 16.2
2960
#15
52.70.6
52.652.0
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
Third
7501
#23
49.91.2
41.039.8
Auto8.5
Teleop32.1
End9.3
red by 5.6
8397
#21
44.40.6
38.838.2
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned