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Red142
608842.8
357262.7
118849.5
Blue163
150244.6
705657.9
535256.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441380100200300400500600700142163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+33
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +26
19Coral scored#21
68Coral points74
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
86Total teleop112
Reef
12L4#12
7L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
29Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
142Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#17
62.70.5
60.060.5
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
red by 4.8
57.92.1
49.151.2
Auto10.5
Teleop38.7
End8.7
Second
1188
#36
49.50.5
41.241.6
Auto14.4
Teleop29.3
End5.7
blue by 6.8
5352
#11
56.32.1
50.652.7
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End8.8
Third
6088
#32
42.80.5
33.734.2
Auto5.0
Teleop30.4
End7.4
blue by 1.8
1502
#24
44.62.1
31.833.9
Auto11.4
Teleop31.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned