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Red156
765646.8
1066647.2
46957.7
Blue207
102359.4
432736.2
353660.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157154120140180200156207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+39
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points36
33Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +33
20Coral scored#28
71Coral points100
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
18Processor points18
20Net points24
38Algae points42
109Total teleop142
Reef
10L4#12
4L3#8
7L2#8
4L1 · trough#7
33Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
156Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#22
57.70.4
48.048.4
Auto16.3
Teleop39.4
End2.0
blue by 2.7
3536
#13
60.43.4
59.462.7
Auto15.3
Teleop35.8
End9.3
Second
47.20.4
42.042.4
Auto9.1
Teleop33.2
End4.9
blue by 12.2
1023
#10
59.43.4
45.348.7
Auto14.1
Teleop38.9
End6.4
Third
7656
#26
46.80.4
38.438.8
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
red by 10.7
4327
#29
36.23.4
29.232.6
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned