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Red150
437539.9
654855.7
438145.9
Blue120
955845.5
20145.2
722043.6
28%Model gave it72%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12614080100120160180150120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
0Leave3
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points29
44Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +18
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
90Total teleop72
Reef
11L4#8
10L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
150Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.7
40.642.3
Auto13.6
Teleop39.0
End3.1
red by 10.2
9558
#28
45.50.9
44.243.3
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End7.9
Second
45.91.7
40.141.8
Auto15.1
Teleop22.9
End7.8
red by 0.7
201
#18
45.20.9
38.337.4
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2
Third
4375
#39
39.91.7
35.637.3
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End2.3
blue by 3.7
7220
#31
43.60.9
41.340.5
Auto8.6
Teleop30.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned