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Red156
839744.4
477665.1
258651.2
Blue195
924570.7
102557.2
118958.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142169100200250156195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
7Coral scored#10
36Coral points49
36Total auto49
TeleoperatedBlue +20
16Coral scored#27
58Coral points98
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
96Total teleop116
Reef
10L4#13
4L3#12
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
156Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.11.3
55.156.4
Auto14.5
Teleop40.9
End9.8
blue by 5.5
70.71.7
57.459.1
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
Second
2586
#27
51.21.3
42.944.2
Auto13.8
Teleop34.0
End3.4
blue by 7.4
1189
#19
58.71.7
55.657.3
Auto11.4
Teleop38.4
End8.9
Third
8397
#21
44.41.3
38.239.5
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End11.0
blue by 12.8
1025
#14
57.21.7
50.151.8
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned