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Qual 382025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red121
353730.8
765646.8
496759.9
Blue172
654855.7
261941.1
839744.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14413480100120160180200220121172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points40
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +24
14Coral scored#22
52Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
6Processor points12
24Net points16
30Algae points28
82Total teleop106
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#9
3L2#8
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
121Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#16
59.90.2
58.1→57.8
Auto11.7
Teleop40.6
End7.6
red by 4.2
6548
#4
55.73.8
41.5→45.3
Auto13.6
Teleop39.0
End3.1
Second
7656
#26
46.80.2
40.2→40.0
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
red by 2.5
8397
#21
44.43.8
39.5→43.3
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End11.0
Third
3537
#40
30.80.2
26.4→26.2
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End2.3
blue by 10.3
2619
#20
41.13.8
34.4→38.2
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned