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Red119
14145.6
296052.7
432736.2
Blue141
705657.9
553833.8
607747.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136135120125130140119141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +5
17Coral scored#18
61Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
89Total teleop94
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#6
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
119Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#15
52.70.5
51.350.8
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
blue by 5.2
57.91.1
52.153.2
Auto10.5
Teleop38.7
End8.7
Second
141
#35
45.60.5
40.339.8
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End9.8
blue by 1.5
6077
#30
47.11.1
42.043.1
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End9.4
Third
4327
#29
36.20.5
31.531.1
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End1.0
red by 2.4
5538
#33
33.81.1
28.429.4
Auto5.2
Teleop21.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned