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Red162
776839.4
516659.2
477665.1
Blue135
719751.9
554747.2
608842.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16013050100200250162135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+15Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +4
17Coral scored#20
60Coral points72
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
18Processor points18
28Net points12
46Algae points30
106Total teleop102
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
162Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.7
56.457.1
Auto14.5
Teleop40.9
End9.8
red by 13.2
7197
#12
51.90.6
50.350.9
Auto8.8
Teleop41.8
End1.4
Second
59.20.7
56.557.2
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 11.9
5547
#34
47.20.6
42.843.4
Auto7.4
Teleop32.0
End7.9
Third
7768
#37
39.40.7
38.238.9
Auto7.0
Teleop28.0
End4.4
blue by 3.4
6088
#32
42.80.6
33.434.0
Auto5.0
Teleop30.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned