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Qual 412025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red156
719648.3
955845.5
118849.5
Blue159
258651.2
102557.2
296052.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151170100200250156159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+5Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
7Coral scored#7
36Coral points37
36Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +9
18Coral scored#21
64Coral points75
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
24Processor points12
16Net points8
40Algae points20
104Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#9
8L3#9
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
156Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#36
49.51.4
40.1→41.5
Auto14.4
Teleop29.3
End5.7
blue by 7.7
1025
#14
57.20.3
55.5→55.8
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
Second
7196
#38
48.31.4
47.6→49.0
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End6.3
blue by 4.3
2960
#15
52.70.3
50.8→51.1
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
Third
9558
#28
45.51.4
47.1→48.5
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End7.9
blue by 5.7
2586
#27
51.20.3
48.6→48.9
Auto13.8
Teleop34.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned