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Red177
496759.9
46957.7
607747.1
Blue184
20145.2
705657.9
924570.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154157140150160170180177184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points19
37Total auto28
TeleoperatedBlue +22
22Coral scored#26
78Coral points94
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
110Total teleop132
Reef
13L4#10
6L3#5
4L2#9
6L1 · trough#6
36Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
6Foul points0
177Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#16
59.90.9
57.858.7
Auto11.7
Teleop40.6
End7.6
blue by 10.8
70.71.8
59.661.4
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
Second
469
#22
57.70.9
51.152.0
Auto16.3
Teleop39.4
End2.0
blue by 0.2
57.91.8
53.255.0
Auto10.5
Teleop38.7
End8.7
Third
6077
#30
47.10.9
43.144.0
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End9.4
red by 1.9
201
#18
45.21.8
41.142.9
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned