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Red162
261941.1
477665.1
554747.2
Blue161
839744.4
353660.4
150244.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146162100120180200220240162161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+21
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points41
26Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +3
22Coral scored#22
80Coral points79
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
100Total teleop97
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#8
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#34
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
162Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.11.6
57.158.7
Auto14.5
Teleop40.9
End9.8
red by 4.8
3536
#13
60.40.9
64.365.2
Auto15.3
Teleop35.8
End9.3
Second
5547
#34
47.21.6
43.444.9
Auto7.4
Teleop32.0
End7.9
red by 2.7
1502
#24
44.60.9
40.241.1
Auto11.4
Teleop31.4
End1.7
Third
2619
#20
41.11.6
38.239.7
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
blue by 3.3
8397
#21
44.40.9
43.344.1
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned