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Red127
118958.7
546070.4
955845.5
Blue165
765646.8
14145.6
608842.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201122100150250300127165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+32
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
6Coral scored#2
29Coral points10
29Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
19Coral scored#18
68Coral points64
3Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
18Processor points24
8Net points16
26Algae points40
94Total teleop104
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points6
127Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.44.0
69.965.9
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
red by 23.6
7656
#26
46.82.1
40.042.1
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
Second
1189
#19
58.74.0
57.353.3
Auto11.4
Teleop38.4
End8.9
red by 13.0
141
#35
45.62.1
42.244.3
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End9.8
Third
9558
#28
45.54.0
48.544.5
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End7.9
red by 2.7
6088
#32
42.82.1
34.036.1
Auto5.0
Teleop30.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned