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Red149
102557.2
376763.0
722043.6
Blue202
477665.1
553833.8
924570.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154153120130140160170180190200149202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+45
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +23
3Leave0
3Coral scored#9
17Coral points43
20Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +22
21Coral scored#31
75Coral points111
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
113Total teleop135
Reef
11L4#16
7L3#13
4L2#8
2L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
149Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.2
54.554.3
Auto14.3
Teleop40.7
End8.0
blue by 7.6
70.73.4
61.464.9
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
Second
1025
#14
57.20.2
55.855.6
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
blue by 7.9
65.13.4
58.762.1
Auto14.5
Teleop40.9
End9.8
Third
7220
#31
43.60.2
41.841.6
Auto8.6
Teleop30.9
End4.2
red by 9.8
5538
#33
33.83.4
30.533.9
Auto5.2
Teleop21.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned