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Qual 502025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red187
1066647.2
839744.4
102359.4
Blue223
535256.3
654855.7
46957.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175170140160180200220187223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+48
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
7Coral scored#8
33Coral points41
36Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +37
29Coral scored#27
103Coral points98
1Processor algae#6
4Net algae#7
6Processor points36
16Net points28
22Algae points64
125Total teleop162
Reef
13L4#10
7L3#11
12L2#9
4L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#48
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
187Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#10
59.40.2
51.4→51.6
Auto14.1
Teleop38.9
End6.4
red by 1.7
469
#22
57.72.3
52.0→54.2
Auto16.3
Teleop39.4
End2.0
Second
10666
#25
47.20.2
46.8→47.0
Auto9.1
Teleop33.2
End4.9
blue by 9.1
5352
#11
56.32.3
50.7→53.0
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End8.8
Third
8397
#21
44.40.2
44.1→44.3
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End11.0
blue by 11.3
6548
#4
55.72.3
47.0→49.3
Auto13.6
Teleop39.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned