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Red157
118849.5
554747.2
20145.2
Blue187
296052.7
546070.4
357262.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13019150100150250157187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points35
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +41
18Coral scored#24
66Coral points85
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
12Processor points18
8Net points24
20Algae points42
86Total teleop127
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#9
4L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
30Game pieces#40
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
157Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#36
49.51.1
41.542.6
Auto14.4
Teleop29.3
End5.7
blue by 21.0
70.40.2
65.965.7
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
Second
5547
#34
47.21.1
44.946.0
Auto7.4
Teleop32.0
End7.9
blue by 15.4
3572
#17
62.70.2
61.961.7
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Third
201
#18
45.21.1
42.944.0
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2
blue by 7.5
2960
#15
52.70.2
51.150.9
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned