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Qual 532025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red145
608842.8
438145.9
719648.3
Blue159
765646.8
261941.1
516659.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13414680100120160180200145159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
20Coral scored#22
72Coral points79
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
86Total teleop107
Reef
11L4#12
7L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
145Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7196
#38
48.31.1
49.0→50.1
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End6.3
blue by 10.8
5166
#5
59.21.3
58.3→59.5
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Second
4381
#9
45.91.1
43.4→44.5
Auto15.1
Teleop22.9
End7.8
blue by 1.0
7656
#26
46.81.3
42.1→43.3
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
Third
6088
#32
42.81.1
36.1→37.2
Auto5.0
Teleop30.4
End7.4
red by 1.7
2619
#20
41.11.3
39.7→41.0
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned