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Red235
546070.4
924570.7
839744.4
Blue182
357262.7
705657.9
955845.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192180100150200250235182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+77Teleop
+47Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
9Leave0
9Coral scored#6
47Coral points30
56Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +51
36Coral scored#21
129Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
18Processor points12
20Net points28
38Algae points40
167Total teleop116
Reef
14L4#10
14L3#8
10L2#5
7L1 · trough#4
53Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points0
235Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.72.7
64.967.5
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
red by 8.0
3572
#17
62.70.4
61.762.1
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Second
70.42.7
65.768.4
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
red by 12.5
57.90.4
55.956.3
Auto10.5
Teleop38.7
End8.7
Third
8397
#21
44.42.7
44.347.0
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End11.0
blue by 1.1
9558
#28
45.50.4
44.544.9
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned