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Qual 572025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red136
516659.2
607747.1
353730.8
Blue186
102557.2
765646.8
102359.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145169100120160180200220240260136186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+38
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +17
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points70
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#3
18Processor points24
16Net points12
34Algae points36
89Total teleop106
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
136Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#5
59.20.2
59.5→59.3
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
blue by 0.3
1023
#10
59.41.8
51.6→53.4
Auto14.1
Teleop38.9
End6.4
Second
6077
#30
47.10.2
44.6→44.4
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End9.4
blue by 10.1
1025
#14
57.21.8
55.6→57.4
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
Third
3537
#40
30.80.2
26.5→26.3
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End2.3
blue by 16.0
7656
#26
46.81.8
43.3→45.2
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned