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Red147
719648.3
546070.4
654855.7
Blue153
438145.9
496759.9
477665.1
70%Model gave it30%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162152120140180200147153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points34
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +1
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
91Total teleop92
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#10
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
147Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.40.5
69.168.5
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
red by 5.3
65.10.3
51.151.5
Auto14.5
Teleop40.9
End9.8
Second
55.70.5
43.042.4
Auto13.6
Teleop39.0
End3.1
blue by 4.2
4967
#16
59.90.3
55.856.2
Auto11.7
Teleop40.6
End7.6
Third
7196
#38
48.30.5
43.142.6
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End6.3
red by 2.4
45.90.3
41.141.5
Auto15.1
Teleop22.9
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned