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Red128
258651.2
437539.9
750149.9
Blue145
608842.8
924570.7
261941.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125130050100150200250300128145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points11
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +6
20Coral scored#13
71Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#8
6Processor points12
8Net points32
14Algae points44
85Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points10
128Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#27
51.20.8
44.745.4
Auto13.8
Teleop34.0
End3.4
blue by 19.5
70.71.0
55.556.5
Auto15.2
Teleop49.5
End5.9
Second
7501
#23
49.90.8
37.538.3
Auto8.5
Teleop32.1
End9.3
red by 7.2
6088
#32
42.81.0
32.933.9
Auto5.0
Teleop30.4
End7.4
Third
4375
#39
39.90.8
34.134.9
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End2.3
blue by 1.2
2619
#20
41.11.0
31.632.6
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned