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Red146
432736.2
955845.5
46957.7
Blue133
20145.2
376763.0
353730.8
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153150120130140160170180190146133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+1Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
21Coral scored#17
76Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
104Total teleop94
Reef
8L4#8
9L3#6
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
12Foul points0
146Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#22
57.70.9
48.849.7
Auto16.3
Teleop39.4
End2.0
blue by 5.3
63.01.0
54.155.2
Auto14.3
Teleop40.7
End8.0
Second
9558
#28
45.50.9
43.644.5
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End7.9
red by 0.3
201
#18
45.21.0
35.036.1
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2
Third
4327
#29
36.20.9
24.725.7
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End1.0
red by 5.4
3537
#40
30.81.0
25.526.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned