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Red194
516659.2
14145.6
554747.2
Blue216
535256.3
296052.7
1066647.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150146120140160180200194216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points33
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +14
25Coral scored#30
89Coral points109
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#8
24Processor points18
32Net points32
56Algae points50
145Total teleop159
Reef
12L4#16
9L3#12
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#48
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
194Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.22.1
53.155.2
Auto10.6
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 2.8
5352
#11
56.33.6
44.448.0
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End8.8
Second
5547
#34
47.22.1
37.539.6
Auto7.4
Teleop32.0
End7.9
blue by 5.4
2960
#15
52.73.6
46.349.9
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
Third
141
#35
45.62.1
40.442.5
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End9.8
blue by 1.6
47.23.6
34.838.4
Auto9.1
Teleop33.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned