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Red166
719648.3
118958.7
765646.8
Blue176
546070.4
118849.5
719751.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13216650100150200250166176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +5
20Coral scored#25
72Coral points91
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
12Processor points6
28Net points20
40Algae points26
112Total teleop117
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#9
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points6
166Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#19
58.72.1
53.555.6
Auto11.4
Teleop38.4
End8.9
blue by 11.8
70.40.9
68.569.4
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
Second
7196
#38
48.32.1
42.644.7
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End6.3
blue by 3.6
7197
#12
51.90.9
47.448.2
Auto8.8
Teleop41.8
End1.4
Third
7656
#26
46.82.1
36.038.2
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
blue by 2.6
1188
#36
49.50.9
41.242.0
Auto14.4
Teleop29.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned