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Red128
839744.4
102557.2
705657.9
Blue62
776839.4
438145.9
102359.4
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511398010012016018020012862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+60Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
14Coral scored#5
51Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
69Total teleop33
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#0
5L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#8
BargeRed +6
26Cage & park20
26Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
128Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.7
47.046.4
Auto10.5
Teleop38.7
End8.7
blue by 1.5
1023
#10
59.44.7
47.442.7
Auto14.1
Teleop38.9
End6.4
Second
1025
#14
57.20.7
51.851.1
Auto16.7
Teleop31.6
End8.9
red by 11.3
45.94.7
41.536.7
Auto15.1
Teleop22.9
End7.8
Third
8397
#21
44.40.7
39.438.8
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End11.0
red by 5.0
7768
#37
39.44.7
44.039.2
Auto7.0
Teleop28.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned