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Red108
357262.7
607747.1
150244.6
Blue114
258651.2
654855.7
553833.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154119100200108114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+6
+2Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points14
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#16
35Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
57Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points8
108Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#17
62.72.2
63.561.3
Auto20.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
red by 7.0
55.70.5
42.441.9
Auto13.6
Teleop39.0
End3.1
Second
6077
#30
47.12.2
43.841.6
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End9.4
blue by 4.1
2586
#27
51.20.5
45.444.9
Auto13.8
Teleop34.0
End3.4
Third
1502
#24
44.62.2
33.231.0
Auto11.4
Teleop31.4
End1.7
red by 10.8
5538
#33
33.80.5
25.925.4
Auto5.2
Teleop21.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned